http://www.google.com/search?hl=en&q=zogby+poll+mccain+48%25+fraud&btnG=Search
Yep, what was the the error percentage, 50%?
For that to happen, those polled either weren't aware Obama had made a 30-minute ad, didn't watch or show any interest in any report that 34 million Americans watched, or those polled were in a coma and woke up to questions who would you vote for if the election were held today?
Obama who?
That's who had to have been polled for McCain to make a one point gain over Obama after Obama's walloping of an ad to McCain's ad which we analyzed earlier.
Zogby says:
Almost two days worth of the polling—or about half of the current sample in the three-day rolling poll of likely voters nationwide, was conducted after Obama's 30-minute commercial aired Wednesday evening. There is no evidence it helped him, as he has dropped 1.1 points in the last two days, while McCain has gained 0.8 points during the same period.
Yep. Maybe those polled were all the Sisters of St. Basil or something...
The ten point spread is much more realistic especially after the unparalleled amount of time Obama spent meeting and greeting 34 million people for thirty minutes.
Plus, look at the graph and chart stats, and look closely. Just what day was McCain ahead? A split between 5 PM Thursday and 5 PM Friday, or just when exactly?
http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1623
So maybe Zogby used the margin of error to calculate McCain was maybe ahead if the margin of error were in McCain's favor and not the reverse?
Read closely.
Released: November 01, 2008
Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby Poll: Is McCain Making a Move?
Republican John McCain made a small gain against Democrat Barack Obama and has pulled back within the margin of error, now trailing Obama by five points, 49.1% to 44.1%, the latest Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby daily tracking telephone poll shows.
Almost two days worth of the polling—or about half of the current sample in the three-day rolling poll of likely voters nationwide, was conducted after Obama's 30-minute commercial aired Wednesday evening. There is no evidence it helped him, as he has dropped 1.1 points in the last two days, while McCain has gained 0.8 points during the same period.
Pollster John Zogby: "Is McCain making a move? The three-day average holds steady, but McCain outpolled Obama today, 48% to 47%. He is beginning to cut into Obama's lead among independents, is now leading among blue collar voters, has strengthened his lead among investors and among men, and is walloping Obama among NASCAR voters. Joe the Plumber may get his license after all. "Obama's lead among women declined, and it looks like it is occurring because McCain is solidifying the support of conservative women, which is something we saw last time McCain picked up in the polls. If McCain has a good day tomorrow, we will eliminate Obama's good day three days ago, and we could really see some tightening in this rolling average. But for now, hold on."
The three-day rolling tracking poll included 1,200 likely voters—about 400 interviews per 24-hour polling period (each polling period begins and ends at 5 p.m. daily)—and was conducted Oct. 29-31, 2008. It carries a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percentage points. Interviews were conducted using live telephone interviewers in Zogby's in-house call center in Upstate New York.
http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1623
http://www.zogby.com/methodology/readmeth.dbm?ID=1370
What methodology?
Zogby Poll Showing McCain Lead Interviews Fewer Democrats Than All Other Surveys
stumble digg reddit del.ico.us news trust mixx.com
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/11/01/zogby-poll-showing-mccain_n_139968.html
Trick or Treat
Do you spook easily?
Judging by the response in my inbox, some of you do.
Matt Drudge is touting the results of a one-day sample in a Zogby poll, which apparently showed John McCain ahead by 1 point.
There are a couple of significant problems with this.
http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/10/trick-or-treat.html
Net the Truth Online
Friday, October 31, 2008
One Day Zogby Poll Shows McCain Lead, Four Days Before the Election
Normally I wouldn't even consider a Zogby poll. During the last Presidential election they were so inaccurate that many poll aggregation sites dropped them for obvious bias. Perhaps trying to grab headlines again, Zobgy announced the results of one day poll, showing a 48-47 statistical tie.
If they were going for attention it worked. Zogby's site is giving "Service Unavailable" at the moment. Whether they were shut down by heavy traffic or angry Obamacons is impossible to say. The Drudge Report goes the subtle route with a nice headline in 36 pt font. Since you can't link to a specific Drudge headline, here's a screen capture...
http://ifreedomtrail.blogspot.com/2008/10/one-day-zogby-poll-shows-mccain-lead.html
By any Gallup measure, Obama's lead is 10 points
Gallup just released new national tracking results that may calm Democrats who got jittery this morning about a new Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby poll and whose jitters were front-paged today in The New York Times.
Gallup's latest numbers show Democrat Barack Obama leading Republican John McCain 52%-42% based on both the traditional definition of likely voters and a new one that includes more first-time and infrequent voters.
The margin is "the largest Obama lead among likely voters to date" in the traditional model and it matches the largest in the expanded model. Gallup also says today is the first time the two likely-voter numbers have been the same.
Gallup also says that as of Friday, 27% of registered voters had already voted and another 8% said they intended to vote early.
As for the rest of the trackers, here they are. Click on each poll for details on methodology.
Rasmussen Reports: Obama 51%, McCain 46%
Diageo/Hotline: Obama 51%, McCain 44%
Research 2000/DailyKos: Obama 51%, McCain 44%
Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby: Obama 49%, McCain 44%. Zogby says the three-day average held steady but McCain outpolled Obama by 1 point yesterday, the third day.That led Zogby to ask, "Is McCain making a move?"
http://blogs.usatoday.com/onpolitics/2008/11/
Zogby Poll: McCain Moving Up
Saturday, November 1, 2008 11:18 AM
Republican John McCain made a small gain against Democrat Barack Obama and has pulled back within the margin of error, now trailing Obama by five points, 49.1 percent to 44.1 percent, the latest Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby daily tracking telephone poll shows.
Almost two days worth of the pollingor about half of the current sample in the three-day rolling poll of likely voters nationwide, was conducted after Obama's 30-minute commercial aired Wednesday evening. There is no evidence it helped him, as he has dropped 1.1 points in the last two days, while McCain has gained 0.8 points during the same period.
Pollster John Zogby: "Is McCain making a move? The three-day average holds steady, but McCain outpolled Obama today, 48 percent to 47 percent. He is beginning to cut into Obama's lead among independents, is now leading among blue collar voters, has strengthened his lead among investors and among men, and is walloping Obama among NASCAR voters. Joe the Plumber may get his license after all.
http://www.newsmax.com/insidecover/Zogby_Poll_McCain/2008/11/01/146627.html
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